Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Ostfriesland-Stadion, Emden
The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for St. Pauli II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II?
Kickers Emden starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,761).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kickers Emden have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; St. Pauli II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 2-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hamburger SV II(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | HSC Hannover(away) | 4-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bremer SV(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 4-6 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Eintracht Norderstedt(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kickers Emden win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 St. Pauli II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 1, 2025 | St. Pauli II 1-1 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Mar 2, 2025 | St. Pauli II 1-0 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Kickers Emden 0-1 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Kickers Emden 0-3 St. Pauli II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Oct 23, 2022 | St. Pauli II 2-3 Kickers Emden | Regionalliga - Nord |
Last archived meeting: Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kickers Emden score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Pauli II score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Emden | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| St. Pauli II | 1.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kickers Emden sit 13th in Regionalliga - Nord (4 points from 4 matches) and St. Pauli II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kickers Emden | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 4 |
| 14 | St. Pauli II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II?
- The Footlab model makes Kickers Emden the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for St. Pauli II.
- Where and when is Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II played?
- Kickers Emden vs St. Pauli II is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Ostfriesland-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 6, 2027Werder Bremen IIvsTodesfelde
- Mar 6, 2027SV Drochtersen/AsselvsBremer SV
- Mar 6, 2027VfB LübeckvsAtlas Delmenhorst
- Mar 6, 2027Eintracht NorderstedtvsHamburger SV II
- Mar 6, 2027HSC HannovervsHannover 96 II
- Mar 6, 2027VfB OldenburgvsPhönix Lübeck
- Mar 6, 2027Eimsbütteler TVvsWeiche Flensburg
- Mar 6, 2027SchöningenvsSSV Jeddeloh