VfB Stuttgart vs Lille: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Lille. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Lille?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (2,267 vs 2,121).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs Lille
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1- 9E. Demirović
- 6A. Stiller
- 26D. Undav
- 10C. Führich
- 18J. Leweling
- 16A. Karazor
- 21G. Prömel
- 24J. Chabot
- 7M. Mittelstädt
- 3R. Hendriks
- 41D. Seimen
Lille
4-2-3-1- 18A. Ueda
- 6N. Bentaleb
- 10H. Haraldsson
- 17N. Mukau
- 7D. Bakwa
- 21B. André
- 4Alexsandro Ribeiro
- 15R. Perraud
- 3N. Ngoy
- 38M. Goffi
- 1B. Özer
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Lille have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Arsenal(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Le Havre(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nice(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Stuttgart score 3.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lille score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Lille | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Stuttgart sit 8th in UEFA Champions League (3 points from 1 match) and Lille sit 32nd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 32 | Lille | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
A question about VfB Stuttgart vs Lille?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Lille?
- The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Lille.
- Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Lille played?
- VfB Stuttgart vs Lille is played on December 9, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.