AS Roma vs Sporting CP: prediction and stats
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 6Kick-off on December 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for AS Roma. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting CP wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,395 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS Roma vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is a heavy favourite: 2,496 Elo points against 2,148, a 348-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS Roma vs Sporting CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS Roma
3-4-2-1- 14D. Malen
- 21P. Dybala
- 43Wesley
- 17M. Koné
- 20N. Molina
- 18M. Soulé
- 15M. de Roon
- 22Hermoso
- 23G. Mancini
- 5E. Ndicka
- 95P. Gollini
Sporting CP
4-3-3- 10Geny Catamo
- 97L. Suárez
- 19N. Irankunda
- 5Sergi Altimira
- 77I. Doumbia
- 8João Simões
- 25Gonçalo Inácio
- 22Iván Fresneda
- 20M. Araújo
- 72Eduardo Quaresma
- 30Kaique
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS Roma have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Sporting CP have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Como(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Torino(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lens(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Famalicao(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 AS Roma wins, 0 draws, 1 Sporting CP win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2022 | Sporting CP 3-2 AS Roma | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sporting CP vs AS Roma on Jul 19, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
AS Roma score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting CP score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sporting CP | 2.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS Roma sit 25th in UEFA Champions League (1 point from 2 matches) and Sporting CP sit 6th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 25 | AS Roma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
A question about AS Roma vs Sporting CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS Roma vs Sporting CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting CP the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for AS Roma.
- Where and when is AS Roma vs Sporting CP played?
- AS Roma vs Sporting CP is played on December 8, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the UEFA Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.