Match

VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)MHPArena, Stuttgart

VfB StuttgartUnion Berlin

The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (2,269 vs 2,031).

66%18%16%
VfB Stuttgart winDrawUnion Berlin win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 10C. Führich
  4. 4J. Vagnoman
  5. 21G. Prömel
  6. 18J. Leweling
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 7M. Mittelstädt
  1. 1F. Bredlow

Union Berlin

4-1-4-1
  1. 29E. Latte Lath
  1. 8R. Khedira
  2. 20M. Aebischer
  3. 11Jeong Woo-Yeong
  4. 13A. Schäfer
  5. 30K. Imeri
  1. 15T. Rothe
  2. 2F. Uduokhai
  3. 19J. Haberer
  4. 4Z. Van Den Bosch
  1. 1F. Rønnow

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:20 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Stuttgart have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Union Berlin have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga
Union Berlin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SV Elversberg(home)1-0Bundesliga
Sep 18, 2026Bayern München(away)0-7Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2026FC Schalke 04(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-4Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)3-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfB Stuttgart wins, 2 draws, 1 Union Berlin win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Union BerlinBundesliga
Aug 23, 2025Union Berlin 2-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Apr 19, 2025Union Berlin 4-4 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Dec 6, 2024VfB Stuttgart 3-2 Union BerlinBundesliga
Mar 8, 2024VfB Stuttgart 2-0 Union BerlinBundesliga
Oct 31, 2023VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Union BerlinDFB Pokal

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Stuttgart score 2.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Union Berlin score 2.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Stuttgart2.91.067/1512/15
Union Berlin2.12.5111/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Stuttgart sit 11th in Bundesliga (6 points from 5 matches) and Union Berlin sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11VfB Stuttgart5203896
16Union Berlin51135174

A question about VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin?
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Union Berlin.
Where and when is VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin played?
VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin is played on December 12, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at MHPArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfB Stuttgart and Union Berlin

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