VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg
The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Osnabrück. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate VfL Wolfsburg (2,025) and VfL Osnabrück (2,002).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Wolfsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Osnabrück have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Verl(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spelle-Venhaus(away) | 5-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Magdeburg(home) | 0-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(away) | 3-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Nordhorn(away) | 7-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| VfL Osnabrück | 2.2 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th in 2. Bundesliga (4 points from 2 matches) and VfL Osnabrück sit 18th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabrück | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Wolfsburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Osnabrück.
- Where and when is VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück played?
- VfL Wolfsburg vs VfL Osnabrück is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volkswagen Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026Hannover 96vsDynamo Dresden
- Oct 31, 2026SpVgg Greuther FürthvsHolstein Kiel
- Oct 31, 2026SV Darmstadt 98vs1. FC Magdeburg
- Oct 31, 2026FC St. Paulivs1. FC Nürnberg
- Oct 31, 2026Arminia BielefeldvsEintracht Braunschweig
- Oct 31, 20261. FC KaiserslauternvsHertha BSC
- Oct 31, 2026Karlsruher SCvs1. FC Heidenheim
- Oct 31, 2026Energie CottbusvsVfL Bochum