Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. Pauli

1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,960) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).

FC St. Pauli win37 %

Draw26 %

1. FC Nürnberg win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	0-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Holstein Kiel(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo La Coruna(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Bournemouth(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Nürnberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Viktoria Köln(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	4-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Oviedo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Palermo(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FC St. Pauli win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 16, 2024	1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Oct 7, 2023	FC St. Pauli 5-1 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Jan 29, 2023	1. FC Nürnberg 0-1 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga
Jul 16, 2022	FC St. Pauli 3-2 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Apr 29, 2022	FC St. Pauli 1-1 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Nov 28, 2021	1. FC Nürnberg 2-3 FC St. Pauli	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC St. Pauli on Mar 16, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli	1.3	2.0	0	12/15	10/15
1. FC Nürnberg	2.7	1.2	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
13	FC St. Pauli	2	0	2	0	3	3	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Nürnberg the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?: FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.