Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,036) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,025).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(away) | 1-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 4-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VfL Bochum(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Verl(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hertha BSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | VfL Wolfsburg 0-2 Hertha BSC | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2023 | VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Hertha BSC | Bundesliga |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Hertha BSC 0-5 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Jan 15, 2022 | VfL Wolfsburg 0-0 Hertha BSC | Bundesliga |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Hertha BSC 1-2 VfL Wolfsburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 27, 2021 | VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Hertha BSC | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC on Oct 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha BSC | 2.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for VfL Wolfsburg.
- Where and when is Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
- Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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