Match

Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSCVfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,036) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,025).

Hertha BSC win46 %
Draw25 %
VfL Wolfsburg win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Saarbrücken(away)1-1DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)4-12. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026VfL Bochum(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 20261. FC Köln(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026Telstar(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Lyon(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Verl(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hertha BSC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 VfL Wolfsburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 8, 2025VfL Wolfsburg 0-2 Hertha BSCFriendlies Clubs
May 27, 2023VfL Wolfsburg 1-2 Hertha BSCBundesliga
Jan 24, 2023Hertha BSC 0-5 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Jan 15, 2022VfL Wolfsburg 0-0 Hertha BSCBundesliga
Aug 21, 2021Hertha BSC 1-2 VfL WolfsburgBundesliga
Feb 27, 2021VfL Wolfsburg 2-0 Hertha BSCBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Wolfsburg vs Hertha BSC on Oct 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC2.81.339/158/15
VfL Wolfsburg1.71.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hertha BSC2200516
4VfL Wolfsburg2110104

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg?
The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg played?
Hertha BSC vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on November 7, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hertha BSC and VfL Wolfsburg

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