VfR Mannheim vs VfR Aalen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for VfR Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Mannheim vs VfR Aalen?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate VfR Mannheim (1,926) and VfR Aalen (1,971).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; VfR Aalen have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Freiburg II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FC Saarbrücken(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 VfR Mannheim win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 VfR Aalen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | VfR Mannheim 1-1 VfR Aalen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 13, 2025 | VfR Aalen 1-0 VfR Mannheim | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Mar 22, 2025 | VfR Mannheim 2-0 VfR Aalen | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
| Sep 7, 2024 | VfR Aalen 2-3 VfR Mannheim | Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg |
Last archived meeting: VfR Mannheim vs VfR Aalen on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Aalen score 2.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| VfR Aalen | 2.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Mannheim sit 14th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and VfR Aalen sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | VfR Aalen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs VfR Aalen?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Aalen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for VfR Mannheim.
- Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs VfR Aalen played?
- VfR Mannheim vs VfR Aalen is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 12, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsEintracht Trier
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