Vianés vs San Marcial: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Viana, Viana
The Footlab AI model makes San Marcial the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Vianés. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Marcial wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianés vs San Marcial?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Vianés (1,614) and San Marcial (1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vianés vs San Marcial
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vianés
Not enough data to predict the Vianés lineup.
San Marcial
Not enough data to predict the San Marcial lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianés have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; San Marcial have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Anguiano(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calasancio(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Agoncillo(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | La Calzada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Pradejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cenicero(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | River Ebro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Vianés win, 1 draw, 1 San Marcial win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Marcial 1-0 Vianés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | San Marcial 2-2 Vianés | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Vianés 1-0 San Marcial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vianés score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcial score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianés | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| San Marcial | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vianés sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (4 points from 9 matches) and San Marcial sit 8th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Marcial | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 17 | Vianés | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Vianés vs San Marcial?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianés vs San Marcial?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Marcial the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Vianés.
- Where and when is Vianés vs San Marcial played?
- Vianés vs San Marcial is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Viana, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.