Casalarreina vs Pradejón: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 16Group 16 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Soto, Haro
The Footlab AI model makes Pradejón the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Casalarreina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pradejón wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,856 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Casalarreina vs Pradejón?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Casalarreina (1,587) and Pradejón (1,660).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Casalarreina vs Pradejón
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Casalarreina
4-3-3- GGaizka Díaz
- AAntonio Iglesias
- NN. Bobylov
- AArkaitz
- PPablo Cano
- IIzan Gamarra
- RRubén de Porras
- AAbderrahman
- AAdrián Cerrillo
- MMikel GarcÃa
- SSergio Portilla
Pradejón
Not enough data to predict the Pradejón lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Casalarreina have 6 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats; Pradejón have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Haro Deportivo(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alfaro(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Calasancio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Agoncillo(home) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oyonesa(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cenicero(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | River Ebro(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Berceo(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Comillas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Varea(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Casalarreina wins, 0 draws, 0 Pradejón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pradejón 1-2 Casalarreina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Casalarreina 3-1 Pradejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Pradejón 1-4 Casalarreina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Pradejón 0-3 Casalarreina | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Casalarreina 3-0 Pradejón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
Last archived meeting: Pradejón vs Casalarreina on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Casalarreina score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Pradejón score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casalarreina | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Pradejón | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Casalarreina sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (3 points from 6 matches) and Pradejón sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pradejón | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Casalarreina vs Pradejón?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Casalarreina vs Pradejón?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pradejón the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Casalarreina.
- Where and when is Casalarreina vs Pradejón played?
- Casalarreina vs Pradejón is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.