Vigor Senigallia vs Santegidiese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, Senigallia
The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Santegidiese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vigor Senigallia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,215 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vigor Senigallia vs Santegidiese?
On Elo ratings, Vigor Senigallia has 1,739 points and Santegidiese 1,668.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vigor Senigallia vs Santegidiese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vigor Senigallia
Not enough data to predict the Vigor Senigallia lineup.
Santegidiese
Not enough data to predict the Santegidiese lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 05:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vigor Senigallia have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Santegidiese have 1, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ancona(home) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vigor Senigallia(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | L'Aquila(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Giulianova(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Vigor Senigallia win, 0 draws, 0 Santegidiese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santegidiese 0-2 Vigor Senigallia | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Santegidiese vs Vigor Senigallia on Oct 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vigor Senigallia score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santegidiese score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigor Senigallia | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Santegidiese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 5/9 | 3/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vigor Senigallia sit 8th in Serie D - Girone F (16 points from 10 matches) and Santegidiese sit 17th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 16 |
| 17 | Santegidiese | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 9 |
A question about Vigor Senigallia vs Santegidiese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vigor Senigallia vs Santegidiese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vigor Senigallia the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Santegidiese.
- Where and when is Vigor Senigallia vs Santegidiese played?
- Vigor Senigallia vs Santegidiese is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.