Where and when is Maceratese vs Notaresco played?

Maceratese vs Notaresco is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Maceratese vs Notaresco: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Helvia Recina, Macerata

Maceratese

Notaresco

The Footlab model makes Notaresco the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Maceratese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maceratese vs Notaresco?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Maceratese (1,643) and Notaresco (1,739).

Maceratese win30 %

Draw28 %

Notaresco win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maceratese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Notaresco have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maceratese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Chieti(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Real Giulianova(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Unipomezia(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Recanatese(home)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026	Castelfidardo Calcio(away)	2-2	Serie D - Girone F

Notaresco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Teramo(away)	1-3	Serie D - Girone F
May 10, 2026	Ancona(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026	Ancona(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Victor San Marino(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Termoli Calcio(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maceratese win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Notaresco win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2026	Maceratese 2-1 Notaresco	Serie D - Girone F
Oct 19, 2025	Notaresco 2-1 Maceratese	Serie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: Maceratese vs Notaresco on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maceratese score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Notaresco score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Maceratese	1.0	1.3	3	5/15	8/15
Notaresco	1.4	1.0	5	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maceratese sit 12th in Serie D - Girone F (38 points from 34 matches) and Notaresco sit 5th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Notaresco	34	13	12	9	43	31	51
12	Maceratese	34	11	5	18	43	49	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maceratese vs Notaresco?: The Footlab model makes Notaresco the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Maceratese.
Where and when is Maceratese vs Notaresco played?: Maceratese vs Notaresco is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Helvia Recina, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.