L'Aquila vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, L’Aquila
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win L'Aquila vs Recanatese?
L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,785 vs 1,599).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for L'Aquila vs Recanatese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Recanatese
Not enough data to predict the Recanatese lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, L'Aquila have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Teramo(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ancona(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Notaresco(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 L'Aquila wins, 0 draws, 0 Recanatese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Recanatese 0-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 24, 2025 | L'Aquila 2-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Recanatese 0-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 22, 2024 | L'Aquila 2-1 Recanatese | Serie D - Girone F |
Last archived meeting: Recanatese vs L'Aquila on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
L'Aquila score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L'Aquila | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
L'Aquila sit 1st in Serie D - Girone F (17 points from 7 matches) and Recanatese sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Recanatese | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 6 |
A question about L'Aquila vs Recanatese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for L'Aquila vs Recanatese?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Recanatese.
- Where and when is L'Aquila vs Recanatese played?
- L'Aquila vs Recanatese is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gran Sasso d'Italia, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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