Prykarpattia vs UCSA: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Miskyi Tsentralnyi Stadion Rukh, Ivano-Frankivsk
The Footlab model makes Prykarpattia the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prykarpattia vs UCSA?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Prykarpattia (1,626) and UCSA (1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prykarpattia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; UCSA have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(home) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kulykiv(away) | 1-2 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Probiy Horodenka(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Prykarpattia win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 UCSA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Prykarpattia 1-2 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Oct 9, 2025 | UCSA 3-1 Prykarpattia | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Prykarpattia score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; UCSA score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prykarpattia | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| UCSA | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prykarpattia sit 9th in Persha Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and UCSA sit 6th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | UCSA | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 9 | Prykarpattia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prykarpattia vs UCSA?
- The Footlab model makes Prykarpattia the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for UCSA.
- Where and when is Prykarpattia vs UCSA played?
- Prykarpattia vs UCSA is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Miskyi Tsentralnyi Stadion Rukh, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.