Vila Real vs Ceara B: prediction and stats
Copa Fares LopesGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Vila Real the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Ceara B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vila Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vila Real vs Ceara B?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Vila Real (1,533) and Ceara B (1,505).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vila Real vs Ceara B
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vila Real
Not enough data to predict the Vila Real lineup.
Ceara B
Not enough data to predict the Ceara B lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vila Real have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ceara B have 3, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Acopiara(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pacatuba(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pacatuba(away) | 1-1 | Cearense - 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tianguá(away) | 1-0 | Cearense - 3 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Acopiara(home) | 3-2 | Cearense - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Maracanã(home) | 1-2 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Caucaia(home) | 2-1 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Maracanã(away) | 0-2 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tirol/CEFAT(away) | 1-0 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Vila Real(home) | 4-0 | Copa Fares Lopes |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Vila Real wins, 0 draws, 1 Ceara B win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ceara B 4-0 Vila Real | Copa Fares Lopes |
How many goals should we expect?
Vila Real score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara B score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Real | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Ceara B | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/9 | 5/9 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Vila Real vs Ceara B?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vila Real vs Ceara B?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vila Real the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Ceara B.
- Where and when is Vila Real vs Ceara B played?
- Vila Real vs Ceara B is played on November 7, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa Fares Lopes.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.