Vilanova vs San Cristóbal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, Vilanova i la Geltrú
The Footlab model makes Vilanova the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for San Cristóbal. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilanova vs San Cristóbal?
Vilanova starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,788 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilanova have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; San Cristóbal have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 17, 2026 | Cornellà(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 10, 2026 | Lleida Esportiu(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Can Vidalet(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Manresa(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Europa II(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Tona(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | L'Escala(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vilanova win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 San Cristóbal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | San Cristóbal 0-0 Vilanova | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Vilanova 1-1 San Cristóbal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: San Cristóbal vs Vilanova on Apr 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vilanova score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Cristóbal score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilanova | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| San Cristóbal | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilanova sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (56 points from 34 matches) and San Cristóbal sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vilanova | 34 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 27 | 56 |
| 14 | San Cristóbal | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 48 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilanova vs San Cristóbal?
- The Footlab model makes Vilanova the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for San Cristóbal.
- Where and when is Vilanova vs San Cristóbal played?
- Vilanova vs San Cristóbal is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.