Pobla Mafumet vs Grama: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de La Pobla de Mafumet, La Pobla de Mafumet
The Footlab model makes Grama the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Pobla Mafumet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pobla Mafumet vs Grama?
Grama starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,828 vs 1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pobla Mafumet have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Grama have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | L'Hospitalet(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 5, 2024 | Castelldefels(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 1, 2024 | Badalona II(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | San Cristóbal(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Grama(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Manresa(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Vilassar Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Cristóbal(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Cornellà(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pobla Mafumet win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Grama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Grama 2-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Pobla Mafumet 0-2 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Grama 0-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 2-0 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Pobla Mafumet 1-0 Grama | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Grama 1-0 Pobla Mafumet | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Grama vs Pobla Mafumet on Apr 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Pobla Mafumet score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Grama score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pobla Mafumet | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Grama | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Grama | 34 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 49 | 35 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pobla Mafumet vs Grama?
- The Footlab model makes Grama the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Pobla Mafumet.
- Where and when is Pobla Mafumet vs Grama played?
- Pobla Mafumet vs Grama is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de La Pobla de Mafumet, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.