Where and when is Vilanova vs Tona played?

Vilanova vs Tona is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Vilanova vs Tona: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, Vilanova i la Geltrú

Vilanova

Tona

The Footlab model makes Vilanova the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vilanova vs Tona?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Vilanova (1,789) and Tona (1,759).

Vilanova win44 %

Draw30 %

Tona win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilanova have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vilanova
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Manresa(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Cornellà(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 17, 2026	Cornellà(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 10, 2026	Lleida Esportiu(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026	Can Vidalet(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

Tona
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	L'Escala(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026	Vilassar Mar(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Mollerussa(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	San Cristóbal(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Cornellà(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vilanova win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tona win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 18, 2026	Vilanova 0-1 Tona	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 6, 2025	Tona 1-1 Vilanova	Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Vilanova vs Tona on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vilanova score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Vilanova	1.0	1.1	3	6/15	7/15
Tona	1.2	0.9	6	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vilanova sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (56 points from 34 matches) and Tona sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Vilanova	34	15	11	9	38	27	56
9	Tona	34	10	15	9	35	31	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vilanova vs Tona?: The Footlab model makes Vilanova the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Tona.
Where and when is Vilanova vs Tona played?: Vilanova vs Tona is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.