Vilanova vs Tona: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, Vilanova i la Geltrú
The Footlab AI model makes Vilanova the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vilanova vs Tona?
On Elo ratings, Vilanova has 1,811 points and Tona 1,735.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vilanova vs Tona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vilanova
Not enough data to predict the Vilanova lineup.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vilanova have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peralada(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mollerussa(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | L'Hospitalet(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Vilanova wins, 1 draw, 1 Tona win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Vilanova 0-1 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tona 1-1 Vilanova | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vilanova score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vilanova | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vilanova sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (9 points from 5 matches) and Tona sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vilanova | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 16 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Vilanova vs Tona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vilanova vs Tona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vilanova the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Tona.
- Where and when is Vilanova vs Tona played?
- Vilanova vs Tona is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Associació dels Alumnes Obrers, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027CornellàvsVilassar Mar
- Apr 18, 2027L'HospitaletvsMontañesa
- Apr 18, 2027Cerdanyola del VallèsvsBadalona
- Apr 18, 2027PeraladavsL'Escala
- Apr 18, 2027Pobla MafumetvsEuropa II
- Apr 18, 2027MollerussavsMartinenc
- Apr 18, 2027Atlètic LleidavsSan Cristóbal
- Apr 18, 2027San Juan Atletico de MontcadavsGrama