Villa Nova vs Duque de Caxias: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 2Kick-off on July 19, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Castor de Cifuentes, Nova Lima, Minas Gerais
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What was the result of Villa Nova vs Duque de Caxias?
Duque de Caxias won 2-3 on July 19, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 9′Walter Junio Da Silva ClementinoVilla Nova
- 27′Paulinho GuaráDuque de Caxias
- 32′BrenoVilla Nova
- 45′MarlinhoDuque de Caxias
- 90′FelipeDuque de Caxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Nova have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2015 | CRAC(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Brasiliense(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Anapolina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Itaporã(away) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Estrela do Norte(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | São Caetano(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 1-4 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Nova score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 0.6 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Nova | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy