Villa Nova vs Duque de Caxias: result 2-3 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 2Kick-off on July 19, 2015 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Castor de Cifuentes, Nova Lima, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Villa Nova vs Duque de Caxias?
Duque de Caxias won 2-3 on July 19, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 9′Walter Junio Da Silva ClementinoVilla Nova
- 27′Paulinho GuaráDuque de Caxias
- 32′BrenoVilla Nova
- 45′MarlinhoDuque de Caxias
- 90′FelipeDuque de Caxias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Nova have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Duque de Caxias have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2015 | CRAC(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Brasiliense(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Anapolina(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Itaporã(away) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Estrela do Norte(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | São Caetano(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 1-4 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 6, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Nova score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Duque de Caxias score 0.6 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Nova | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Duque de Caxias | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Villa Nova vs Duque de Caxias?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy