Leon Monza e Brianza vs Villa Valle: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Villa Valle. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leon Monza e Brianza vs Villa Valle?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712) and Villa Valle (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon Monza e Brianza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Villa Valle have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Breno(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Oltrepò(home) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Milan II(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Villa Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza 1-2 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Villa Valle 1-0 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Villa Valle 5-0 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Leon Monza e Brianza 1-1 Villa Valle | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Leon Monza e Brianza vs Villa Valle on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Villa Valle score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Villa Valle | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone B (53 points from 34 matches) and Villa Valle sit 9th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leon Monza e Brianza vs Villa Valle?
- The Footlab model makes Leon Monza e Brianza the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Villa Valle.
- Where and when is Leon Monza e Brianza vs Villa Valle played?
- Leon Monza e Brianza vs Villa Valle is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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