Match

Villanueva Pardillo vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo

Villanueva PardilloAlcobendas Sport

The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Alcobendas Sport?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Villanueva Pardillo (1,726) and Alcobendas Sport (1,718).

Villanueva Pardillo win40 %
Draw26 %
Alcobendas Sport win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villanueva Pardillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Carabanchel(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Móstoles(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026SS Reyes II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Racing Madrid(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas Sport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Leganés II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Torrejón(away)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 18, 2026AD Parla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026Alcorcón II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villanueva Pardillo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Alcobendas Sport win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Villanueva Pardillo 1-2 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2025Alcobendas Sport 0-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 28, 2024Alcobendas Sport 0-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 10, 2023Villanueva Pardillo 1-1 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 28, 2021Villanueva Pardillo 0-1 Alcobendas SportTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 9, 2020Alcobendas Sport 1-0 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Villanueva Pardillo vs Alcobendas Sport on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villanueva Pardillo1.31.057/156/15
Alcobendas Sport1.21.439/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (44 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Alcobendas Sport34121013454945
12Villanueva Pardillo3413516394544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Alcobendas Sport?
The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Alcobendas Sport.
Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Alcobendas Sport played?
Villanueva Pardillo vs Alcobendas Sport is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villanueva Pardillo and Alcobendas Sport

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