Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar played?

Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano II

Galapagar

The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,714) and Galapagar (1,723).

Rayo Vallecano II win37 %

Draw27 %

Galapagar win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Galapagar have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Socuéllamos(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Intercity(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026	Elche II(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rayo Vallecano II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Galapagar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 25, 2025	Rayo Vallecano II 0-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 18, 2025	Galapagar 1-3 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 16, 2025	Galapagar 2-3 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 6, 2024	Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 25, 2024	Galapagar 2-2 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 7, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II 4-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar on May 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II	0.6	2.3	1	6/15	10/15
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar?: The Footlab model makes Rayo Vallecano II the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar played?: Rayo Vallecano II vs Galapagar is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.