Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Leganés II played?

Cala Pozuelo vs Leganés II is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cala Pozuelo vs Leganés II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Cala Pozuelo

Leganés II

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cala Pozuelo vs Leganés II?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Cala Pozuelo (1,707) and Leganés II (1,803).

Cala Pozuelo win24 %

Draw24 %

Leganés II win53 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cala Pozuelo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Leganés II have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cala Pozuelo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 11, 2025	Alcorcón II(home)	4-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025	Galapagar(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025	Torrejón(away)	2-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025	Trival Valderas(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Cala Pozuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leganés II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 16, 2025	Leganés II 0-1 Cala Pozuelo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 3, 2024	Cala Pozuelo 3-3 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Leganés II vs Cala Pozuelo on Mar 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cala Pozuelo	1.4	1.3	3	7/15	6/15
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cala Pozuelo vs Leganés II?: The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Cala Pozuelo.
Where and when is Cala Pozuelo vs Leganés II played?: Cala Pozuelo vs Leganés II is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.