Where and when is Torrejón vs Móstoles played?

Torrejón vs Móstoles is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Torrejón vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 4Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Veredillas, Torrejón de Ardoz

Torrejón

Móstoles

The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torrejón vs Móstoles?

A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Torrejón (1,785) and Móstoles (1,754).

Torrejón win45 %

Draw25 %

Móstoles win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrejón have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torrejón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	AD Parla(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Alcorcón II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	3-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Torrejón win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Móstoles win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 5, 2026	Móstoles 2-3 Torrejón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 23, 2025	Torrejón 0-1 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 7, 2024	Torrejón 0-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 19, 2023	Móstoles 1-1 Torrejón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Torrejón 0-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 4, 2022	Móstoles 0-1 Torrejón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs Torrejón on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torrejón score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Torrejón	1.7	1.5	2	11/15	9/15
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torrejón sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (60 points from 34 matches) and Móstoles sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Torrejón	34	17	9	8	57	46	60
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torrejón vs Móstoles?: The Footlab model makes Torrejón the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Torrejón vs Móstoles played?: Torrejón vs Móstoles is played on September 27, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Veredillas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.