Match

Villanueva Pardillo vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo

Villanueva PardilloPozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Villanueva Pardillo (1,726) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).

Villanueva Pardillo win40 %
Draw28 %
Pozuelo Alarcón win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villanueva Pardillo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Carabanchel(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Móstoles(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026SS Reyes II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Racing Madrid(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026Las Rozas(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo Alarcón
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Marchamalo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Tres Cantos(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Carabanchel(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026Móstoles(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026SS Reyes II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Villanueva Pardillo 1-0 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 26, 2025Pozuelo Alarcón 2-1 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 4, 2024Villanueva Pardillo 2-2 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 17, 2023Pozuelo Alarcón 1-0 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 7, 2021Pozuelo Alarcón 0-0 Villanueva PardilloTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 8, 2020Villanueva Pardillo 0-2 Pozuelo AlarcónTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Villanueva Pardillo vs Pozuelo Alarcón on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villanueva Pardillo1.31.057/156/15
Pozuelo Alarcón1.11.227/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (44 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Pozuelo Alarcón34121210403348
12Villanueva Pardillo3413516394544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?
Villanueva Pardillo vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villanueva Pardillo and Pozuelo Alarcón

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