Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez played?

Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión Adarve

Real Aranjuez

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez?

Unión Adarve starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,544).

Unión Adarve win54 %

Draw25 %

Real Aranjuez win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Galapagar(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve	1.8	1.1	6	6/15	9/15
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Unión Adarve	34	15	8	11	48	42	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez?: The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez played?: Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.