Match

Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión AdarveReal Aranjuez

The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,905 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez?

Unión Adarve starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,575).

57%21%22%
Unión Adarve winDrawReal Aranjuez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Unión Adarve

Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:47 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Aranjuez have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Villanueva Pardillo(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Móstoles(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Torrejón(away)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Fuenlabrada(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 19, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve1.91.166/159/15
Real Aranjuez1.12.819/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Adarve sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (12 points from 7 matches) and Real Aranjuez sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Unión Adarve733112912
14Real Aranjuez713312166

A question about Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez?
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez played?
Unión Adarve vs Real Aranjuez is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unión Adarve and Real Aranjuez

Ready to know everything about football?