Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,790) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Navalcarnero(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Intercity(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Fuenlabrada win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II 1-2 Fuenlabrada | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fuenlabrada 5-0 Rayo Vallecano II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Rayo Vallecano II | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II?
- The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rayo Vallecano II.
- Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
- Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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