Match

Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fernando Torres, Fuenlabrada

FuenlabradaRayo Vallecano II

The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Fuenlabrada (1,790) and Rayo Vallecano II (1,718).

Fuenlabrada win47 %
Draw27 %
Rayo Vallecano II win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fuenlabrada have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Rayo Vallecano II have 1, 1 and 13.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fuenlabrada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Socuéllamos(away)3-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026RSD Alcalá(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026Quintanar del Rey(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Vallecano II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Socuéllamos(home)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Intercity(home)3-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026Elche II(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Fuenlabrada win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rayo Vallecano II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Rayo Vallecano II 1-2 FuenlabradaSegunda División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 28, 2025Fuenlabrada 5-0 Rayo Vallecano IISegunda División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Rayo Vallecano II vs Fuenlabrada on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fuenlabrada score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fuenlabrada0.81.537/157/15
Rayo Vallecano II0.62.316/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II?
The Footlab model makes Fuenlabrada the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II played?
Fuenlabrada vs Rayo Vallecano II is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Fernando Torres, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Fuenlabrada and Rayo Vallecano II

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