Guadalajara II vs Manchego: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Guadalajara II. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guadalajara II vs Manchego?
Manchego starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,672).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guadalajara II vs Manchego
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guadalajara II
Not enough data to predict the Guadalajara II lineup.
Manchego
Not enough data to predict the Manchego lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 07:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadalajara II have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Manchego have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marchamalo(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Toledo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almansa(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huracán Balazote(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Guadalajara II wins, 0 draws, 2 Manchego wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Manchego 1-0 Guadalajara II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Guadalajara II 2-5 Manchego | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Manchego vs Guadalajara II on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guadalajara II score 0.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Manchego score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara II | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Manchego | 1.0 | 0.7 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guadalajara II sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (2 points from 7 matches) and Manchego sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
| 17 | Guadalajara II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 2 |
A question about Guadalajara II vs Manchego?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guadalajara II vs Manchego?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchego the favourite at 53%, against 28% for a draw and 19% for Guadalajara II.
- Where and when is Guadalajara II vs Manchego played?
- Guadalajara II vs Manchego is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.