Vipers vs Lugazi: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)St. Mary's Stadium, Kitende
The Footlab AI model makes Vipers the favourite at 78%, against 17% for a draw and 5% for Lugazi. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vipers vs Lugazi?
Vipers is a heavy favourite: 1,597 Elo points against 1,251, a 346-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vipers vs Lugazi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vipers
4-1-4-1- 29M. Karisa
- 6S. Ssentamu
- 12Y. Sentamu
- 10B. Anukani
- 24O. Osomba
- 13M. Kizza
- 20A. Mandela
- 23I. Mubiru
- 4L. Mulondo
- 5M. Juuko
- 1F. Mutombora
Lugazi
Not enough data to predict the Lugazi lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vipers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lugazi have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | URA(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Mbarara City(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Express(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Vipers wins, 1 draw, 0 Lugazi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Vipers 3-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Lugazi 1-2 Vipers | Premier League |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Vipers 1-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Lugazi 0-0 Vipers | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Vipers score 1.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lugazi score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 27% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vipers | 1.6 | 0.5 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Lugazi | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vipers sit 8th in Premier League (11 points from 8 matches) and Lugazi sit 15th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vipers | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Lugazi | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Vipers vs Lugazi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vipers vs Lugazi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vipers the favourite at 78%, against 17% for a draw and 5% for Lugazi.
- Where and when is Vipers vs Lugazi played?
- Vipers vs Lugazi is played on November 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at St. Mary's Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.