Kataka vs URA: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes URA the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kataka. The most likely score is 1-1. If URA wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,753 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kataka vs URA?
URA starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,375 vs 1,254).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kataka vs URA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kataka
Not enough data to predict the Kataka lineup.
URA
Not enough data to predict the URA lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Kataka have 0 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; URA have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Express(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | SC Villa(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | UPDF(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Blacks Power(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | KCCA(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | NEC(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kataka score 0.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 8; URA score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kataka | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| URA | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kataka sit 16th in Premier League (3 points from 8 matches) and URA sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | URA | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
| 16 | Kataka | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
A question about Kataka vs URA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kataka vs URA?
- The Footlab AI model makes URA the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Kataka.
- Where and when is Kataka vs URA played?
- Kataka vs URA is played on November 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.