Jong AZ vs Waalwijk: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)AFAS Trainingscomplex, Wijdewormer
The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Waalwijk. The most likely score is 1-1. If Jong AZ wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Waalwijk?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Jong AZ (1,688) and Waalwijk (1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong AZ vs Waalwijk
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11T. de Wit
- 7K. Toppenberg
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
Waalwijk
4-2-3-1- 9J. van de Haar
- 8J. Nap
- 7R. Fage
- 6L. Postma
- 10T. van Leeuwen
- 93V. Misidjan
- 30J. de Wijs
- 55N. Held
- 4L. van Gelderen
- 33F. Al Mazyani
- 1N. Schiks
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong AZ have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Waalwijk have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Emmen(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | MVV(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Jong AZ wins, 2 draws, 4 Waalwijk wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Waalwijk 1-1 Jong AZ | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Waalwijk 2-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Jong AZ 2-3 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 12, 2019 | Jong AZ 2-4 Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 21, 2018 | Waalwijk 2-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 12, 2018 | Waalwijk 1-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong AZ score 2.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Waalwijk score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong AZ | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Waalwijk | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong AZ sit 11th in Eerste Divisie (13 points from 10 matches) and Waalwijk sit 9th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Waalwijk | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Jong AZ vs Waalwijk?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong AZ vs Waalwijk?
- The Footlab AI model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Waalwijk.
- Where and when is Jong AZ vs Waalwijk played?
- Jong AZ vs Waalwijk is played on February 22, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.