NAC Breda vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1. If NAC Breda wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Vitesse?
On Elo ratings, NAC Breda has 1,771 points and Vitesse 1,714.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for NAC Breda vs Vitesse
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
NAC Breda
4-2-3-1- 9M. Soumano
- 78J. Van Hecke
- 6M. Balard
- 10M. Nassoh
- 28C. Brym
- 14K. Sowah
- 12J. Van den Bergh
- 22R. Hillen
- 2B. Lucassen
- 4L. Greiml
- 1M. Verrips
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 16P. Dahbo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 24N. Markelo
- 1C. van den Berg
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Vitesse have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MVV(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 4-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NAC Breda wins, 1 draw, 3 Vitesse wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vitesse 2-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 2, 2019 | Vitesse 4-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Dec 9, 2018 | NAC Breda 2-1 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Apr 7, 2018 | NAC Breda 1-0 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Vitesse 4-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2015 | NAC Breda 0-1 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 5th in Eerste Divisie (17 points from 10 matches) and Vitesse sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | NAC Breda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
A question about NAC Breda vs Vitesse?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab AI model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs Vitesse played?
- NAC Breda vs Vitesse is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.