NAC Breda vs Vitesse: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
The Footlab model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Vitesse?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate NAC Breda (1,792) and Vitesse (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NAC Breda have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Vitesse have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFI(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 0-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(away) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Al-Jazira(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 NAC Breda win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Vitesse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Vitesse 4-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Dec 9, 2018 | NAC Breda 2-1 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Apr 7, 2018 | NAC Breda 1-0 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Aug 12, 2017 | Vitesse 4-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Feb 7, 2015 | NAC Breda 0-1 Vitesse | Eredivisie |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Vitesse 2-2 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
How many goals should we expect?
NAC Breda score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vitesse score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Vitesse | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
NAC Breda sit 7th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 3 matches) and Vitesse sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for NAC Breda vs Vitesse?
- The Footlab model makes NAC Breda the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is NAC Breda vs Vitesse played?
- NAC Breda vs Vitesse is played on February 26, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.