Vitória ES vs Estrela do Norte: result 1-2 and analysis
CapixabaQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 26, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitória, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Vitória ES vs Estrela do Norte?
Estrela do Norte won 1-2 on March 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 12′?Estrela do Norte
- 32′Augusto RecifeEstrela do Norte
- 56′WarleiVitória ES
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitória ES have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Estrela do Norte have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | Estrela do Norte(away) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Itapemirim(away) | 5-0 | Capixaba |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Real Noroeste(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Remo(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Real Noroeste(away) | 2-3 | Capixaba |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Vilavelhense(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Porto Vitória(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Vitória ES wins, 0 draws, 1 Estrela do Norte win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | Estrela do Norte 1-2 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Estrela do Norte 1-3 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Estrela do Norte 1-4 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Vitória ES 2-0 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Vitória ES 4-2 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Vitória ES 1-2 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
Last archived meeting: Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES on Mar 20, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Vitória ES score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela do Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória ES | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Estrela do Norte | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitória ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
A question about Vitória ES vs Estrela do Norte?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy