Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES: result 1-2 and analysis
CapixabaQuarter-finalsKick-off on March 20, 2023 at 10:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Mário Monteiro, Cachoeiro de Itapemirim, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES?
Vitória ES won 1-2 on March 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 34′TonyVitória ES
- 82′?Estrela do Norte
- 89′?Vitória ES
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrela do Norte have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Vitória ES have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Real Noroeste(away) | 2-3 | Capixaba |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Vilavelhense(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Porto Vitória(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Itapemirim(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Itapemirim(away) | 5-0 | Capixaba |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Real Noroeste(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Remo(home) | 0-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Nova Venécia(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Estrela do Norte win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Vitória ES win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | Estrela do Norte 1-3 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Estrela do Norte 1-4 Vitória ES | Capixaba |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Vitória ES 2-0 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Vitória ES 4-2 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Vitória ES 1-2 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Dec 2, 2020 | Vitória ES 1-0 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
Last archived meeting: Estrela do Norte vs Vitória ES on Feb 6, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Estrela do Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vitória ES score 1.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela do Norte | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Vitória ES | 1.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitória ES | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy