Vitoria vs Barakaldo: result 4-3 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 11, 2021 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Ellakuri, Laudio
Full time
What was the result of Vitoria vs Barakaldo?
Vitoria won 4-3 on September 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 29′Markel MayoBarakaldo
- 32′David NatesBarakaldo
- 39′Iñigo MartínVitoria
- 40′Urko ColladoVitoria
- 81′David NatesBarakaldo (pen.)
- 83′Unai ArietaVitoria
- 87′Urko ColladoVitoria
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Barakaldo have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2021 | Amurrio Club(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 15, 2021 | Gernika(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2021 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 2, 2021 | Sestao River(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Gernika(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2021 | Basconia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Arenas Getxo(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Noja(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2021 | Barreda(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Racing Santander II(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Barakaldo | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy