Vitoria vs Jequié: prediction and stats
Baiano - 1Regular Season - 6Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for Jequié. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,829 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitoria vs Jequié?
Vitoria starts as the favourite with a 231-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,524).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitoria vs Jequié
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitoria
4-2-3-1- 91Rene
- 95Caíque
- 33Erick
- 10Matheuzinho
- 6E. Martínez
- 12D. Tarzia
- 36Luan Cândido
- 98Mateusinho
- 83Jamerson
- 2E. Brítez
- 1Lucas Arcanjo
Jequié
4-3-3- 9Tiago Souza
- 11Edilson Matos dos Santos Junior
- 22Marcinho
- 8Jô
- 25Gatinha Ze
- 5Walfrido
- 3Mineiro William
- 14Baiano Caique
- 15Baiano Sergio
- 16Carioca Gabriel
- 12Fábio Szymonek
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 11:14 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Jequié have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Barcelona BA(home) | 1-1 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Galícia(away) | 1-2 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-2 | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Jacuipense(away) | 2-0 | Baiano - 1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 2-1 | Baiano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Vitoria win, 1 draw, 1 Jequié win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Jequié 2-2 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Vitoria 2-0 Jequié | Baiano - 1 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | Jequié 1-0 Vitoria | Baiano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jequié score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Jequié | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitoria sit 2nd in Baiano - 1 (16 points from 9 matches) and Jequié sit 5th (12 points from 9 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Vitoria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Jequié | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 12 |
A question about Vitoria vs Jequié?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitoria vs Jequié?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitoria the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for Jequié.
- Where and when is Vitoria vs Jequié played?
- Vitoria vs Jequié is played on January 30, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Baiano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.