Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Do Vizela, Caldas de Vizela
The Footlab model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Vizela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Vizela (1,899) and Lusitânia Lourosa (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vizela have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lusitânia Lourosa have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paredes(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Vizela win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Lusitânia Lourosa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Vizela 4-3 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Vizela | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Vizela 1-3 Lusitânia Lourosa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Lusitânia Lourosa 4-3 Vizela | Taça de Portugal |
Last archived meeting: Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vizela score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vizela | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vizela sit 8th in Segunda Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Vizela | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
- The Footlab model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Vizela.
- Where and when is Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa played?
- Vizela vs Lusitânia Lourosa is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Do Vizela, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.