Benfica B vs Penafiel: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Caixa Futebol Campus, Seixal
The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Benfica B. The most likely score is 1-1. If Penafiel wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Benfica B vs Penafiel?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Benfica B (1,992) and Penafiel (1,949).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Benfica B vs Penafiel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Benfica B
4-3-3- 74O. Tome
- 77Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
- 72A. Cabral
- 60Nuno Félix
- 76R. Quintas
- 73Miguel Figueiredo
- 55João Carvalho Fonseca
- 33Gabriel Indio
- 78D. Soares
- 62J. Neto
- 50Diogo Ferreira
Penafiel
3-4-3- 10Davo
- 17João Pinto
- 9Max Svensson
- 21Pedro Sá
- 8Àlex Carbonell
- 50Francisco Varela
- 85Carlinhos Augusto
- 5Jaime Sánchez
- 27Gonçalo Negrão
- 6Adrián Pica
- 1Miguel Oliveira
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica B have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Penafiel have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Academica(away) | 3-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leça(home) | 0-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 9, 2026 | AVS(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Academica(home) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Benfica B wins, 3 draws, 1 Penafiel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Penafiel 1-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Benfica B 0-2 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| May 11, 2025 | Benfica B 1-1 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 29, 2024 | Penafiel 1-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Penafiel 0-1 Benfica B | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Benfica B 1-0 Penafiel | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica B score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Penafiel score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Penafiel | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica B sit 5th in Segunda Liga (13 points from 7 matches) and Penafiel sit 4th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
A question about Benfica B vs Penafiel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Benfica B vs Penafiel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Penafiel the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Benfica B.
- Where and when is Benfica B vs Penafiel played?
- Benfica B vs Penafiel is played on April 11, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Caixa Futebol Campus, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.