Match

Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio: prediction and stats

Copa UruguayRound of 16Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)

Wanderers DuraznoDanubio

The Footlab AI model makes Wanderers Durazno the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Danubio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wanderers Durazno wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,263 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Wanderers Durazno (1,660) and Danubio (1,752).

37%27%36%
Wanderers Durazno winDrawDanubio win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Wanderers Durazno

Not enough data to predict the Wanderers Durazno lineup.

Danubio

4-3-1-2
  1. 30S. Fernández
  2. 77B. Tomatis
  1. 10M. Peralta
  2. 8S. Rodríguez
  3. 16I. Rossi
  4. 38J. Trasante
  1. 4M. Rinaldi
  2. 6L. Sosa
  3. 19M. Brasil
  4. 3G. Rodriguez
  1. 1M. Goicoechea

Computed on October 24, 2026 at 11:48 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Wanderers Durazno have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Danubio have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wanderers Durazno
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2025Plaza Colonia(home)2-2Copa Uruguay
Sep 16, 2023Terremoto(home)0-2Copa Uruguay
Sep 3, 2023Wanderers Juvenil(away)4-1Copa Uruguay
Danubio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Central Espanol(home)1-0Primera División
Oct 15, 2026Central Espanol(away)6-0Copa Uruguay
Oct 9, 2026Atletico Torque(away)0-1Primera División
Oct 4, 2026Cerro Largo(home)2-1Primera División
Sep 27, 2026Defensor Sporting(away)0-1Primera División

How many goals should we expect?

Wanderers Durazno score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 3; Danubio score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wanderers Durazno2.01.702/32/3
Danubio1.01.145/154/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

A question about Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio?
The Footlab AI model makes Wanderers Durazno the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Danubio.
Where and when is Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio played?
Wanderers Durazno vs Danubio is played on October 29, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC), in the Copa Uruguay.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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