Ards vs Rathfriland: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
Full time
What was the result of Ards vs Rathfriland?
Ards won 1-0 on September 12, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rathfriland have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Loughgall(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Institute(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 2-4 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rathfriland score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Rathfriland | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ards sit 8th in Championship (52 points from 38 matches) and Rathfriland sit 15th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ArdsChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
| 15 | RathfrilandChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Ards vs Rathfriland?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy