Warriors vs Kitchee: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kitchee. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warriors wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warriors vs Kitchee?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Warriors (1,698) and Kitchee (1,665).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Warriors vs Kitchee
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Warriors
4-3-3- 19Luis Phelipe
- 7N. Baffoe
- 80Chung Wai Keung
- 10B. Kraev
- 6Wu Chun Ming
- 11S. Ichikawa
- 4R. Tachibana
- 44D. Tursunov
- 5Chan Yun Tung
- 22Tsang Yi Hang Ellison
- 28Chan Ka Ho
Kitchee
4-3-3- 21Koldo Obieta
- 30Walter
- 18Everton Camargo
- 9Revilla
- 7R. Mingazow
- 5Illarramendi
- 3Roger Riera
- 22C. Beattie
- 14Kam Chi Kin Jason
- 2Marcao
- 17Pong Cheuk Hei
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warriors have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Kitchee have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 1-0 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Shatin(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Gangwon FC(home) | 0-0 | AFC Champions League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Warriors wins, 0 draws, 2 Kitchee wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kitchee 1-4 Warriors | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Kitchee 1-2 Warriors | League Cup |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kitchee 1-0 Warriors | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Warriors 2-3 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Warriors 4-0 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kitchee 0-1 Warriors | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Warriors score 2.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kitchee score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 2.2 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Kitchee | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warriors sit 3rd in Premier League (42 points from 22 matches) and Kitchee sit 1st (52 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 28 | 52 |
| 3 | Warriors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
A question about Warriors vs Kitchee?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warriors vs Kitchee?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warriors the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Kitchee.
- Where and when is Warriors vs Kitchee played?
- Warriors vs Kitchee is played on October 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.