Warriors vs Kitchee: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Kitchee. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warriors vs Kitchee?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Warriors (1,695) and Kitchee (1,685).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warriors have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Kitchee have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | North District(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kitchee(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Prime Bangkok(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Eastern(home) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| May 2, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | North District(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Warriors win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kitchee win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kitchee 1-4 Warriors | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Kitchee 1-2 Warriors | League Cup |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Kitchee 1-0 Warriors | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Warriors 2-3 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Warriors 4-0 Kitchee | Premier League |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kitchee 0-1 Warriors | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Warriors score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitchee score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kitchee | 2.3 | 1.4 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warriors sit 3rd in Premier League (42 points from 22 matches) and Kitchee sit 1st (52 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 54 | 28 | 52 |
| 3 | Warriors | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warriors vs Kitchee?
- The Footlab model makes Warriors the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Kitchee.
- Where and when is Warriors vs Kitchee played?
- Warriors vs Kitchee is played on October 19, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.