BC Rangers vs North District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Hammer Hill Road Sports Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes North District the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for BC Rangers. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win BC Rangers vs North District?
North District starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,485 vs 1,348).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, BC Rangers have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; North District have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Eastern District(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Eastern District(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 BC Rangers win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 North District win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | North District 2-1 BC Rangers | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | BC Rangers 2-1 North District | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: North District vs BC Rangers on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
BC Rangers score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; North District score 2.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Rangers | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| North District | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
BC Rangers sit 4th in Premier League (21 points from 22 matches) and North District sit 4th (32 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | North District | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 39 | 32 |
| 4 | BC Rangers | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for BC Rangers vs North District?
- The Footlab model makes North District the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for BC Rangers.
- Where and when is BC Rangers vs North District played?
- BC Rangers vs North District is played on October 18, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at Hammer Hill Road Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.