Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Tai Po Sports Ground, Tai Po
The Footlab model makes Wofoo Tai Po the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Southern District. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District?
Wofoo Tai Po starts as the favourite with a 248-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,436).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wofoo Tai Po have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Southern District have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | North District(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 30, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| May 23, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wofoo Tai Po win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Southern District win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po 1-0 Southern District | Premier League |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Southern District 2-1 Wofoo Tai Po | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Wofoo Tai Po 3-1 Southern District | Senior Shield |
| May 5, 2025 | Wofoo Tai Po 2-2 Southern District | Premier League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Wofoo Tai Po 3-2 Southern District | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Southern District 1-1 Wofoo Tai Po | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wofoo Tai Po score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Southern District score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wofoo Tai Po | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Southern District | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wofoo Tai Po sit 2nd in Premier League (43 points from 22 matches) and Southern District sit 2nd (25 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southern District | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 25 |
| 2 | Wofoo Tai Po | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 49 | 32 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District?
- The Footlab model makes Wofoo Tai Po the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Southern District.
- Where and when is Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District played?
- Wofoo Tai Po vs Southern District is played on October 19, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Tai Po Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.