Shatin vs BC Rangers: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, Hong Kong
The Footlab model makes Shatin the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for BC Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shatin vs BC Rangers?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Shatin (1,358) and BC Rangers (1,348).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shatin have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; BC Rangers have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Tung Sing(away) | 0-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sham Shui Po(home) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 Sing(home) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Lucky Mile(away) | 6-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Eastern District(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Kowloon City(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Shatin score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; BC Rangers score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatin | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| BC Rangers | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BC Rangers | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 44 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shatin vs BC Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Shatin the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for BC Rangers.
- Where and when is Shatin vs BC Rangers played?
- Shatin vs BC Rangers is played on November 7, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Ma On Shan Recreation Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.