North District vs Kowloon City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)North District Sports Ground, North District
The Footlab model makes North District the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Kowloon City. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North District vs Kowloon City?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate North District (1,485) and Kowloon City (1,400).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North District have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kowloon City have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | Eastern District(away) | 2-2 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Warriors(home) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 1, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kitchee(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Warriors(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Southern District(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 North District win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kowloon City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | North District 2-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Kowloon City 2-2 North District | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Kowloon City 3-4 North District | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | North District 3-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | North District 2-3 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Kowloon City 2-0 North District | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: North District vs Kowloon City on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
North District score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kowloon City score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North District | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Kowloon City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
North District sit 4th in Premier League (32 points from 22 matches) and Kowloon City sit 1st (28 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kowloon City | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 28 |
| 4 | North District | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 39 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North District vs Kowloon City?
- The Footlab model makes North District the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Kowloon City.
- Where and when is North District vs Kowloon City played?
- North District vs Kowloon City is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at North District Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.