North District vs Kowloon City: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC)North District Sports Ground, North District
The Footlab AI model makes North District the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kowloon City. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,958 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win North District vs Kowloon City?
North District starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,525 vs 1,378).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for North District vs Kowloon City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
North District
4-3-3- 70Samuel Granada
- 11Weverton Guilherme
- 19Jahangir Khan
- 20Kayke David
- 4Fung Kwun-Ming
- 22Y. Arboleda
- 5C. Páez
- 16K. Mosquera
- 3Wong Chun Ho
- 37Wong Tsz Ho
- 63Dell Li Hon-Ho
Kowloon City
4-3-3- 17Kwok Chun Nok
- 10Rikelmi
- 12Law Cheuk Hei
- 5Diego Eli
- 24S. Lucena
- 7Mikael
- 4Kang Jun-Hyun
- 20Yim Kai-Cheuk
- 2Yu Pui Hong
- 21Tsang Kam To
- 22Tin-Lok Kwong
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, North District have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Kowloon City have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | BC Rangers(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Southern District(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | BC Rangers(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wofoo Tai Po(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Eastern District(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 4-1 | Senior Shield |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Shatin(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Eastern(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 North District wins, 1 draw, 2 Kowloon City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | North District 2-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Kowloon City 2-2 North District | Premier League |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Kowloon City 3-4 North District | Premier League |
| Jan 12, 2025 | North District 3-1 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2024 | North District 2-3 Kowloon City | Premier League |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Kowloon City 2-0 North District | HKFA 1st Division |
Last archived meeting: North District vs Kowloon City on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
North District score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kowloon City score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North District | 2.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Kowloon City | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
North District sit 4th in Premier League (32 points from 22 matches) and Kowloon City sit 1st (28 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kowloon CityPlacement Round | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 28 |
| 4 | North DistrictPremier League, Championship Round | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 39 | 32 |
A question about North District vs Kowloon City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for North District vs Kowloon City?
- The Footlab AI model makes North District the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Kowloon City.
- Where and when is North District vs Kowloon City played?
- North District vs Kowloon City is played on November 8, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC) at North District Sports Ground, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.