Watford vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 31Kick-off on February 19, 2021 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Watford won 2-1 on February 19, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 19′João PedroWatford
- 21′W. HughesWatford
- 77′W. Troost-EkongDerby (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2021 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Bristol City(home) | 6-0 | Championship |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Coventry(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 1, 2021 | QPR(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 26, 2021 | Millwall(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2021 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Middlesbrough(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Rotherham(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Bristol City(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jan 23, 2021 | QPR(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Watford win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2020 | Derby 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Watford | Championship |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Watford 1-2 Derby | Championship |
| Apr 26, 2014 | Derby 4-2 Watford | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford 2-3 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 23, 2013 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 0.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Derby | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 6th in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Derby sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy