Watford vs Derby: result 2-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Watford
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Watford won 2-0 on February 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′L. KjerrumgaardWatford
- 90′M. DoumbiaWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Preston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Southampton(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Blackburn(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Jan 23, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Charlton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Watford win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | Derby 2-3 Watford | Championship |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Derby 0-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Feb 19, 2021 | Watford 2-1 Derby | Championship |
| Oct 16, 2020 | Derby 0-1 Watford | Championship |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Derby 2-2 Watford | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 6th in Championship (3 points from 1 matches) and Derby sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Watford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Derby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy