Watford vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 23, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Rhydmwyn, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Watford won 2-1 on February 23, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 35′M. VydraWatford
- 68′J. EkstrandWatford
- 73′Jamie John WardDerby (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | Ipswich(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Birmingham(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2013 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 29, 2013 | Bristol City(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Wolves(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2013 | Hull City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Watford win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby 5-1 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 2.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 7th in Championship (4 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy