Watford vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 34Kick-off on February 23, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vicarage Road, Rhydmwyn, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of Watford vs Derby?
Watford won 2-1 on February 23, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 35′M. VydraWatford
- 68′J. EkstrandWatford
- 73′Jamie John WardDerby (pen.)
Official lineup for Watford vs Derby
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Watford
- 20M. Vydra
- 21I. Anya
- 36Alexandre Geijo Pazos
- 22Almen Abdi
- 38C. Battocchio
- 39N. Chalobah
- 12Lloyd Doyley
- 27Marco Cassetti
- 33N. Nosworthy
- 40J. Ekstrand
- 1Manuel Almunia Rivero
Derby
- 10Jamie John Ward
- 12M. Jacobs
- 32C. Sammon
- 4Craig James Bryson
- 7P. Coutts
- 8J. Hendrick
- 18Ben Davies
- 2J. Brayford
- 6R. Keogh
- 22M. Hoganson
- 13A. Legzdiņš
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Watford have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Derby have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | Ipswich(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Birmingham(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Feb 8, 2013 | Crystal Palace(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Jan 29, 2013 | Bristol City(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Wolves(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Feb 12, 2013 | Hull City(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Feb 9, 2013 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Feb 2, 2013 | Huddersfield(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Watford win, 0 draws, 2 Derby wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2012 | Derby 5-1 Watford | Championship |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Watford score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 2.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Derby | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Watford sit 22nd in Championship (8 points from 10 matches) and Derby sit 23rd (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Watford | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Watford vs Derby?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy