Derby vs Watford: result 5-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 1, 2012 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Full time
What was the result of Derby vs Watford?
Derby won 5-1 on September 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 16′R. KeoghDerby
- 36′J. HendrickDerby
- 43′C. SammonDerby
- 52′W. HughesDerby
- 67′Jamie John WardDerby
- 74′M. VydraWatford
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Derby have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Watford have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2012 | Wolves(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Bolton(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2012 | Scunthorpe(home) | 10-10 | League Cup |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Peterborough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2012 | Bradford(home) | 1-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Birmingham(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 21, 2012 | Ipswich(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Crystal Palace(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Wycombe(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Derby win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Watford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Watford | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Watford 0-1 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Derby score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Watford score 1.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Watford | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Derby sit 16th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Watford sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Watford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy