Match

Wealdstone vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex

WealdstoneDerby County U21

The Footlab AI model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 3-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?

Wealdstone starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,577).

80%12%8%
Wealdstone winDrawDerby County U21 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Wealdstone vs Derby County U21

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Wealdstone

4-3-3
  1. 9O. Olomola
  2. 7L. Norris
  3. 26F. Okenabirhie
  1. 4J. Wells-Morrison
  2. 11Daniel Chesters
  3. 8D. Kadji
  1. 12A. Francis-Clarke
  2. 22C. McAvoy
  3. 32Abraham Kanu
  4. 3J. Newton
  1. 1D. Baptiste

Derby County U21

4-3-3
  1. 10C. Wilson
  2. 9Z. Marsh
  3. 9J. Oguntolu
  1. 7C. Smith
  2. 6M. Tola
  3. 11F. Jones
  1. 2I. Gordon
  2. 5A. Osayande
  3. 3K. Robinson
  4. 5Raymond Offor
  1. 1N. Bilokapić

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:37 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wealdstone have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wealdstone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Yeovil Town(home)0-6National League
Oct 3, 2026Barrow(away)1-2National League
Sep 29, 2026Forest Green(away)1-1National League
Sep 26, 2026Gateshead(home)4-0National League
Sep 19, 2026Tamworth(away)1-2National League
Derby County U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Scunthorpe(away)2-2National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026Brentford U21(away)2-4Premier League Cup
Sep 18, 2026Burnley U21(away)1-4Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 11, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Sep 8, 2026Gateshead(away)3-1National League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Wealdstone win, 0 draws, 0 Derby County U21 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 3, 2024Wealdstone 2-0 Derby County U21National League Cup

Last archived meeting: Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 on Dec 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Wealdstone score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.6 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wealdstone1.61.839/1510/15
Derby County U211.62.6211/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?
The Footlab AI model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 8% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 played?
Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Wealdstone and Derby County U21

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