Where and when is Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 played?

Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wealdstone vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Grosvenor Vale, Ruislip, Middlesex

Wealdstone

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Wealdstone (1,744) and Derby County U21 (1,650).

Wealdstone win53 %

Draw22 %

Derby County U21 win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wealdstone have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Derby County U21 have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wealdstone
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Worthing(away)	0-1	National League
Aug 18, 2026	Wolves U21(home)	1-3	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Harrogate Town(home)	1-3	National League
Aug 8, 2026	AFC Fylde(away)	2-2	National League
Aug 1, 2026	Slough Town(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League
Apr 13, 2026	Reading U21(away)	1-4	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Wealdstone win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Derby County U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Dec 3, 2024	Wealdstone 2-0 Derby County U21	National League Cup

Last archived meeting: Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 on Dec 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Wealdstone score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wealdstone	1.1	1.4	5	8/15	6/15
Derby County U21	1.1	2.3	4	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wealdstone vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes Wealdstone the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 played?: Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 is played on November 3, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Grosvenor Vale, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.